nz weather outlook

Home > News > Monday’s weather outlook... A cold front slowly slides northwards over the South Island on Monday reaching the lower North Island in the evening. Temperatures are mostly likely to be above average in the North Island and about equally likely to be above average or near average in the South Island. The central Pacific El Niño event that arrived in March 2019 has ended, giving way to ENSO neutral conditions, owing to cooling sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Pacific and a neutral Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) during August. Rain moves in to South Canterbury mid afternoon before clearing at night, staying mainly dry further north but there is the chance of a coastal shower later in the evening.Mostly cloudy for Otago with the odd shower, some rain for North Otago and perhaps Central Otago developing in the afternoon, clearing away in the evening. This is expected to be associated with a westerly quarter air flow anomaly, particularly during November and December. Showers about Southland, clearing in the evening but the odd one may remain about the coast. By Weather Analyst Aaron Wilkinson – WeatherWatch.co.nz, Sub-tropical winds continue for many regions pushing temperatures well above normal in many places this weekend – and again next…, A cold front passes over New Zealand today moving in from the west, winds strong from the northwest ahead of…, Northwesterlies bring warm temperatures to New Zealand on Saturday especially about the eastern South Island, highs will likely get into…, VIDEO: Halloween weather + The first week of November, Temperature trends – Warm in the east on Saturday before a cool southwest change. A weak, central Pacific El Niño continued during April, as patterns of enhanced rainfall persisted in the vicinity of the International Dateline. Expect mostly sunny weather for the upper North Island, perhaps some early fog to start then again overnight. The atmospheric circulation around New Zealand is forecast to be characterised by slightly higher than normal pressure to the southwest and southeast of New Zealand and lower pressure than normal to the northeast of the country. This is expected to be associated with La Niña-like northeasterly air flow anomalies. Rainfall is about equally likely to be near normal or below normal in the west of the South Island, about equally likely to be near normal or above normal in the east of the North Island, and most likely to be near normal in all other regions. Some things will not look right and things might not work properly. Warmer than average ocean waters in the Coral Sea and west-central Pacific Ocean are expected to have some influence on New Zealand’s climate in the first half of the three month period. During periods of northeasterly winds, the threat for sub-tropical low pressure systems capable of producing heavy rainfall, similar to those experienced in late June and mid-July, is elevated, particularly in the north and east of the North Island. September – November 2020 air pressure is forecast to be higher than normal to the east and lower than normal to the northwest of New Zealand. Get the New Zealand weather forecast. Temperatures are expected to be near or above average for all regions of New Zealand except the north of the North Island where above average temperatures are most likely. Air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season. North of Greymouth skies are sunnier with some high cloud, the odd shower sneaks northwards through to about Westport in the evening however. Sea surface temperatures warmed across the equatorial Pacific during March and El Niño is expected to continue during the upcoming three-month period. A central Pacific El Niño event continued during March as the ocean and atmosphere remained weakly coupled. Winter temperatures are forecast to be above average in the east of the South Island and to be above average or near average in all remaining regions. Winds from the northwest ahead of the front changing south to southwest in behind.Mostly cloudy for the western North Island, expect the odd shower, Northland sees long dry periods. Your web browser (Internet Explorer) is out of date. Temperatures for the summer season are expected to be above average for New Zealand, apart from the west of the South Island where there are about equal chances for near average or above average temperatures. Watch these videos with Chris Brandolino (Principal Scientist - Forecasting) explaining how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted. Air pressure is forecast to be higher than normal to the southeast and lower than normal to the north of New Zealand. Although El Niño is forecast to continue during the upcoming three-month period, it may weaken later in 2019. Mostly sunny about Nelson and Marlborough, a touch of high cloud and afternoon north to northwesterly winds. Light winds from the west or southwest.Tomorrow’s max temperatures, By Weather Analyst Aaron Wilkinson – WeatherWatch.co.nzThumbnail – Monday 19th October 2020 4:00pm MSLP / Rain map – weathermap.co.nz, Sub-tropical winds continue for many regions pushing temperatures well above normal in many places this weekend – and again next…, A cold front passes over New Zealand today moving in from the west, winds strong from the northwest ahead of…, Northwesterlies bring warm temperatures to New Zealand on Saturday especially about the eastern South Island, highs will likely get into…, VIDEO: Halloween weather + The first week of November, Temperature trends – Warm in the east on Saturday before a cool southwest change. 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Weak easterly-quarter air flows are favoured. Winds are light tending onshore in the afternoon. Please download an up-to-date and free browser from here. Please download an up-to-date and free browser from here. All rights reservedPrivacy Policy, 2016, Free phone within New Zealand: 0800 RING NIWA (0800 746 464) Contact details. Occasional easterly quarter winds are possible during October. Showers further south along the West Coast, perhaps becoming heavy about northern Fiordland / southern South Westland, easing evening. The atmospheric circulation around New Zealand is forecast to be characterised by pressures slightly higher than normal over and to the north of the country. The long-standing climate drivers that have contributed to dryness over much of NZ are expected to influence our weather for at least the first half of the winter season. For October to December, air pressure is forecast to be lower than normal in the New Zealand region, especially south of the country. Oceanic ENSO-neutral conditions will very likely persist over the next three months. This is expected to be associated with developing La Niña-like northeasterly air flow anomalies, although a westerly flow anomaly, which may be strong at times, is favoured to continue for much of October. Traditionally, this occurs farther east toward South America and during the early summer season. A cold front slowly slides northwards over the South Island on Monday reaching the lower North Island in the evening. Sharp cold snaps are possible during the month of May as fronts move onto the country from the Tasman Sea and Southern Ocean. the El Niño threshold) for the fourth consecutive month. Patchy rain picking up south of about Waikato late afternoon / evening. A west to northwesterly airflow lies across New Zealand on Monday moving around a large anticyclone to the north.

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